Climate Modeling And Analysis
We utilize advanced global and regional climate models to simulate and project how rising greenhouse gas concentrations alter atmospheric circulation patterns, such as the jet stream, Hadley Cell expansion, and monsoon systems.
- Analyze shifts in the strength, position, and variability of major wind belts.
- Project changes in the frequency and intensity of blocking events and storm tracks.
- Assess feedback mechanisms between surface warming and upper-atmosphere dynamics.
Impact Assessment And Attribution
We conduct statistical analyses and detection-attribution studies to link observed changes in weather extremes and circulation regimes to human-induced climate change.
- Attribute specific extreme weather events (e.g., heatwaves, floods) to altered circulation.
- Quantify the changing probability of persistent weather patterns due to climate forcing.
- Separate natural variability from anthropogenic signals in long-term circulation data.
Data Synthesis And Monitoring
We integrate observational data from satellites, weather stations, and reanalysis products to monitor real-time changes and validate model projections of atmospheric circulation.
- Track metrics like the Arctic Oscillation or North Atlantic Oscillation indices.
- Monitor poleward expansion of subtropical dry zones and tropical circulation edges.
- Create long-term datasets to identify trends in planetary wave patterns and teleconnections.
Adaptation Strategy Development
We translate scientific findings on circulation changes into actionable information for policymakers and sectors like agriculture, water management, and disaster preparedness.
- Develop early warning systems for shifts in seasonal precipitation patterns.
- Create resilience plans for infrastructure vulnerable to changing wind and storm regimes.
- Advise on long-term planning considering projected shifts in climate zones.