Analyzing Historical Climate Conditions
We provide expertise in interpreting geological and biological archives to reconstruct past atmospheric CO2 levels and their relationship to ancient climate states.
- Utilizing proxy data from ice cores, ocean sediments, and fossilized plants to estimate historical CO2 concentrations.
- Correlating CO2 fluctuations with temperature, sea level, and ecosystem changes documented in the paleoclimate record.
Modeling Past Climate Sensitivity
We apply and develop climate models to understand the Earth's response to varying CO2 levels throughout geological history, informing projections of future change.
- Calibrating Earth system models using paleoclimate data to test and improve their accuracy.
- Quantifying climate sensitivity by analyzing periods of both high and low atmospheric CO2, such as the Eocene hothouse or Pleistocene ice ages.
Contextualizing Current Anthropogenic Change
We place modern, human-driven increases in CO2 within the long-term context of natural variability to highlight the unprecedented rate and magnitude of current changes.
- Comparing the speed of modern CO2 rise to natural changes over millennia, demonstrating its exceptional nature.
- Using paleo-analogues (e.g., the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum) to study potential impacts of rapid warming on ecosystems and the carbon cycle.